Abstract

Problem: Modelling is one of the theoretical research methods, which is applicable in various science fields. In sports a model is recognized “as totality of various indices defining a guaranteed athlete‘s preparation as well as achievement of forecasted results” (Stonkus, 2003), yet very often those indices are short of causal, reliable, correlation relationship analysis. Aim of research: Under the guidance of theoretical model, to prepare conception and its systematic classification of all possible formal, co-relational, dynamic and statistical preparation models of high jumpers and substantiate its efficacy when monitoring training sessions and forecasting sports results. Research results: Formal model is composed of data taken from qualitative figures of various training physical loads of five elite Lithuanian high jumpers, which are determinate for alternation reliability during annual training cycle. The variation of jumping exercises during annual training cycle has been as well determinate and we found that biggest qualitative indices are accounted for the months of October, November and March, April. Correlation model is prepared on the basis of high jump and various tests cross correlation. It has been proved that a high jump result has a very strong correlation with a triple jump without running (r = 0.95). With a general potential of velocity intensity r = 0.89, shot-put from the above straight forward (r = 0.80), 30 m running at gained momentum (r = 0.89), vertical (r = 0.87) and horizontal body movement speed (r = 0.81). Statistical model is prepared on the basis of high jump results of the three Olympic Games (1992, 1996, 2000), which proved to have tendency for alternation of results by means of indices of difference reliability (p) and indices of standard deviation (δ). It has been proved that the average mean of the three Olympic Games was 1.96 ± 0.01 ± 0.04, but the best happened to be in 1996 – 1.98 ± 0.01 ± 0.04. Dynamic model is prepared on the basis of data collected from indices of general and special training tests and mathematical statistical analysis of those results of the elite high jumper N.Ž. and long jumper T.B. The forecast of those sports results, which has been made has shown that, wishing to achieve 1.98 m in high jump event an athlete has to achieve 3.89 (m/s) vertical body movement speed and 7.26 (m/s) horizontal body movement speed as well as make a take-off in 0.14 (s). Verf.-Referat